United States Politics Thread 47

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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

Post by malloc »

Ares Land wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 12:44 pmThe far right collectively figured out how to make itself popular again and went at it with much enthusiasm.

I think Trump is a pretty good showman and manipulator (or was?) - all in all pretty close to a carnival barker. This actually helps in an election, especially in the US system which strongly favors conservatives anyway. I do think there's a real talent there and that he's probably smarter than he sounds (but talent and smarts really aren't enough to make a decent ruler.)
No disagreement there. Nonetheless quite a number of people resist acknowledging any talent or skill among the far right. They stress the missteps of the far right, many of them quite funny like the algae in the reflecting pool, while ignoring numerous remarkable victories. This leaves them unable to explain how such incompetent buffoons have taken over one country after another.
zompist wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 3:24 pmThis is where the terminology actually becomes important. By your definition, nothing changed in the 1930s or the 1980s— we had the same system. But Roosevelt made a huge change, from laissez-faire to liberalism (or social democracy). And Reagan made a huge change, from liberalism to plutocracy. Trump is attempting to make a further change, to crony capitalism. By missing these transitions, you cannot analyze them, or resist the bad ones.
Well no, I understand perfectly well that different presidents have implemented distinct economic policies, some more benevolent than others. Nonetheless they're all operating under the same political system, whether you call it liberalism or "multi-party democracy with constitutional limits on state power and capitalist economics". The real danger is not simply transitioning to an even meaner capitalism (though obviously that would be disastrous) but rather transitioning to another political system without democratic elections or limits on state power. We could end up with something like Russia with all elections rigged and political challengers regularly assassinated or even worse if the more radical neo-reactionaries get their way.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

Post by Torco »

zompist wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 3:24 pm
malloc wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 11:52 am Whatever your preferred terminology, my point remains the same. Zompist maintains that the political system (whatever its label) that has historically characterized Western countries like the US works remarkably well, providing both general prosperity and personal freedom unparalleled by alternatives.
This is where the terminology actually becomes important. By your definition, nothing changed in the 1930s or the 1980s— we had the same system. But Roosevelt made a huge change, from laissez-faire to liberalism (or social democracy). And Reagan made a huge change, from liberalism to plutocracy. Trump is attempting to make a further change, to crony capitalism. By missing these transitions, you cannot analyze them, or resist the bad ones.

What you never seem to understand is that it has always been a struggle. There have always been reactionary forces, some merely conservative, some outright fascist. Every progressive step has required protest, heroism, and sometimes literal fighting.
It's correct to point out that the details of how capitalism and capitalist liberal republics gets instantiated have always been a struggle... class struggle, one may call it. but a lot of the distinctions here overstate the differences. roosevelt made changes, but it's not like the country was finland. reagan also made a change, in general we call the post-reagan system neoliberalism rather than plutocracy [and like, capitalism has always been plutocratic, in the sense that those with money are the ruling class, from washington through trump; it is romantization to not acknowledge this]. capitalist realism, and perhaps a related thing we might call liberal realism, might obscure this in the mind, but despite the differences betwen the us in 1890, 1920, 1950, 1980, 2010 and 2026, the overall system of liberal democracy remains: bicameral legislature, wealth as speech and wealthy individuals bankrolling politicians and parties, strong private property rights, no democracy in the worldplace only in the city hall, a specific schema of separation of powers, etcetera. not to mention the more idiosyncratic aspects of the estadounidense system, such as the electoral college.
This leaves them unable to explain how such incompetent buffoons have taken over one country after another.
hear hear. then again, it's not like they have to be great geniuses either: as inequality grows, so does the effect of money in politics. at the limit, under capitalism, if john has as much money as seven thousand times the sum of everyone else (or perhaps more realistically, if john owns say 70% of all the property, including land and stocks and businesses and homes etcetera etcetera), john's chosen candidate would have to be pretty dumb not to win. it is perhaps the case that we've come such a point, and that inequality has reached such a level that the orbanites can afford to be as dumb as a tamagotchi and still win on the power of plutocracy alone.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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Ares Land wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 12:44 pm I think Trump is a pretty good showman and manipulator (or was?) [...] I do think there's a real talent there
malloc wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 4:24 pm This leaves them unable to explain how such incompetent buffoons have taken over one country after another.
Look at Ares Land's comment. Then look at your disgusting mischaracterization. Is lying about these things supposed to make you more of an influencer or something?
zompist wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 3:24 pmThis is where the terminology actually becomes important. By your definition, nothing changed in the 1930s or the 1980s— we had the same system. But Roosevelt made a huge change, from laissez-faire to liberalism (or social democracy). And Reagan made a huge change, from liberalism to plutocracy. Trump is attempting to make a further change, to crony capitalism. By missing these transitions, you cannot analyze them, or resist the bad ones.
Well no, I understand perfectly well that different presidents have implemented distinct economic policies, some more benevolent than others. Nonetheless they're all operating under the same political system,
So, your response to being called out on your sloppy analysis is "La la la I can't hear you", repeating the same sloppy analysis.
The real danger is not simply transitioning to an even meaner capitalism (though obviously that would be disastrous) but rather transitioning to another political system without democratic elections or limits on state power. We could end up with something like Russia with all elections rigged and political challengers regularly assassinated or even worse if the more radical neo-reactionaries get their way.
Their goal is something like Orbán's Hungary, though they are probably hoping to avoid Orbán's landslide defeat.

You love to wallow in the worst-case scenario. This does not make you clever and prescient, it makes you a poor analyst and paralyzed with fear. It's the same methodology as the crank: you treasure and fondle every bit of evidence for the unstoppability of the God-Emperor, you completely ignore everything else.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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Torco wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 4:39 pm roosevelt made changes, but it's not like the country was finland.
Top tax rate under Roosevelt: 94%
Top tax rate ever in Finland: 62.2%

They must have left that out of the Comintern manual.

Is Finland even listed in the manual as an ally? Stalin, you know, tried to coup it, in your terminology.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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zompist wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 5:12 pm
Torco wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 4:39 pm roosevelt made changes, but it's not like the country was finland.
Top tax rate under Roosevelt: 94%
Top tax rate ever in Finland: 62.2%

They must have left that out of the Comintern manual.

Is Finland even listed in the manual as an ally? Stalin, you know, tried to coup it, in your terminology.
Yes, but then there was Finlandization. Though eventually, they joined NATO.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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Raphael wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 5:54 pm
zompist wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 5:12 pm Top tax rate under Roosevelt: 94%
Top tax rate ever in Finland: 62.2%

They must have left that out of the Comintern manual.

Is Finland even listed in the manual as an ally? Stalin, you know, tried to coup it, in your terminology.
Yes, but then there was Finlandization. Though eventually, they joined NATO.
Yeah, a lot doesn't fit into the tankie worldview. Also worth noting is that the country is presently run by conservatives who are scaling back the social safety net and immigration. Then there's the outright racism coming from the junior coalition party...
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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zompist wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 6:40 pm

Yeah, a lot doesn't fit into the tankie worldview. Also worth noting is that the country is presently run by conservatives who are scaling back the social safety net and immigration. Then there's the outright racism coming from the junior coalition party...
I once saw a comment somewhere saying something like, if you go by economic and social safety issues, US Democrats (or most of them) are center-right by European standards, while, if you go by migration issues, US Democrats (or most of them) are unelectably far to the Left by European standards.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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I posted two medium-length (I think) political threads on Bluesky, one laying out my overall political views: https://bsky.app/profile/raphael-pbl.bs ... 5nkt27wk26 and one commenting on one specific aspect of other people commenting on elections in the USA: https://bsky.app/profile/raphael-pbl.bs ... 5oz2itsc2r
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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zompist wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 5:01 pmLook at Ares Land's comment. Then look at your disgusting mischaracterization. Is lying about these things supposed to make you more of an influencer or something?
I was agreeing with Ares Land on this point and criticizing people who deny that Trump had any real talent. Sorry if it sounds like I am mischaracterizing anyone. I am just trying to make sense of how Trump and his analogs across the world have taken power.
So, your response to being called out on your sloppy analysis is "La la la I can't hear you", repeating the same sloppy analysis.
It sounds like we have some fundamental disagreements on how to analyze political structures. It seems obvious to me that the combination of multi-party representative democracy, constitutional limits on state power, capitalist economics, and so forth forms a distinct form of government. That is really a matter of formal structure rather than specific policies enacted within that structure. I am not denying that administrations within that structure can differ dramatically in policy, but they still have to work with the same political framework. That matters because voting out a president or congressional majority is vastly easier than overthrowing a dictatorship.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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zompist wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 3:24 pm
malloc wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 11:52 am Whatever your preferred terminology, my point remains the same. Zompist maintains that the political system (whatever its label) that has historically characterized Western countries like the US works remarkably well, providing both general prosperity and personal freedom unparalleled by alternatives.
This is where the terminology actually becomes important. By your definition, nothing changed in the 1930s or the 1980s— we had the same system. But Roosevelt made a huge change, from laissez-faire to liberalism (or social democracy). And Reagan made a huge change, from liberalism to plutocracy. Trump is attempting to make a further change, to crony capitalism. By missing these transitions, you cannot analyze them, or resist the bad ones.

What you never seem to understand is that it has always been a struggle. There have always been reactionary forces, some merely conservative, some outright fascist. Every progressive step has required protest, heroism, and sometimes literal fighting.
How would you categorize neoliberals like Clinton, Obama, and Biden?
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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malloc wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 8:20 pm It sounds like we have some fundamental disagreements on how to analyze political structures. It seems obvious to me that the combination of multi-party representative democracy, constitutional limits on state power, capitalist economics, and so forth forms a distinct form of government. That is really a matter of formal structure rather than specific policies enacted within that structure. I am not denying that administrations within that structure can differ dramatically in policy, but they still have to work with the same political framework. That matters because voting out a president or congressional majority is vastly easier than overthrowing a dictatorship.
I call it 'liberal democracy', as opposed to illiberal ones. At least in theory liberal democracy can support a number of varying economic policies and ideology. In practice it often feels like conservatives aren't entirely convinced.

I think it is right that Trump wants to do away with it; it's also correct that previous administrations, while not as radical, were playing with the limits. (The Bush, Jr. administration comes to mind.)

As for Trump, though, there's no reason to panic (about dictatorship anyway) -- he certainly wishes he was a dictator, but he isn't there yet, far from it.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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jcb wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 1:22 am
zompist wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 3:24 pm This is where the terminology actually becomes important. By your definition, nothing changed in the 1930s or the 1980s— we had the same system. But Roosevelt made a huge change, from laissez-faire to liberalism (or social democracy). And Reagan made a huge change, from liberalism to plutocracy. Trump is attempting to make a further change, to crony capitalism. By missing these transitions, you cannot analyze them, or resist the bad ones.

What you never seem to understand is that it has always been a struggle. There have always been reactionary forces, some merely conservative, some outright fascist. Every progressive step has required protest, heroism, and sometimes literal fighting.
How would you categorize neoliberals like Clinton, Obama, and Biden?
I carefully highlighted some words which you quoted but didn't read. Read them this time.

Why were Democrats unable to undo plutocracy? Putting aside questions about their character, look at who controlled the House. Since 1992, Republicans 12 times, Democrats 5 times. The three Dem presidents each had precisely one 2-year period when they could pass bills in the House. There was not much of a margin in the Senate either, allowing a couple of conservative holdouts to block legislation.

Bush and Trump ran into the same voter fickleness, losing the House; but Bush did better, having Republicans in charge in 3 of 4 House sessions.

If you really want a Democratic villain, probably you need to look at Tip O'Neill and Robert Byrd.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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zompist wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 2:33 amThis is where the terminology actually becomes important. By your definition, nothing changed in the 1930s or the 1980s— we had the same system. But Roosevelt made a huge change, from laissez-faire to liberalism (or social democracy). And Reagan made a huge change, from liberalism to plutocracy.
Aside from anything else, the terminology here really annoys me. Pretty much everything I've read about political theory apart from commentary specific to contemporary US politics does not define liberalism this way. This is the liberalism I'm used to reading about in political thought, something which predates Roosevelt and hardly centers welfare programs or economic regulation, and hardly excludes Reagan for that matter.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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malloc wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 8:21 am
zompist wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 2:33 amThis is where the terminology actually becomes important. By your definition, nothing changed in the 1930s or the 1980s— we had the same system. But Roosevelt made a huge change, from laissez-faire to liberalism (or social democracy). And Reagan made a huge change, from liberalism to plutocracy.
Aside from anything else, the terminology here really annoys me. Pretty much everything I've read about political theory apart from commentary specific to contemporary US politics does not define liberalism this way. This is the liberalism I'm used to reading about in political thought, something which predates Roosevelt and hardly centers welfare programs or economic regulation, and hardly excludes Reagan for that matter.
I’ll admit that zompist’s usage here confuses me, too. I think his other term ‘social democracy’ is more accurate for what he’s getting at.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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'Liberalism' has different meanings, which is what is confusing things here. It has the meaning that malloc is using, i.e. multi-party representative democracy, constitutional limits on state power, rule of law, capitalism, etc., which is a perfectly valid meaning and is probably the most broadly held and least confusing one. Here in the US (and also in Canada) it has a different meaning that is basically social democracy in its modern-day 'kinder, gentler capitalism' sense. However, it can also in the US and Canada refer to cultural liberalism (also, confusingly, sometimes called 'social liberalism', even though that properly refers to the previous), with an emphasis on individual freedom with regard to cultural norms.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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finland is not heaven, but it is a fairly social democratic country. maybe you prefer sweden, or i dunno spain. there's a few examples to pick.
zompist wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 5:12 pm
Torco wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2026 4:39 pm roosevelt made changes, but it's not like the country was finland.
Top tax rate under Roosevelt: 94%
Top tax rate ever in Finland: 62.2%
social democracy is when top tax bracket? nevermind workers rights such as vacations, maternity leave, protections against arbitrary employment termination, or paid sick leave, which social democracies are characterized by and the us didn't have under roosevelt: high top tax bracket is all it takes! i'll forward the good news to the people who make the political science textbooks.
So, your response to being called out on your sloppy analysis is "La la la I can't hear you", repeating the same sloppy analysis.
not every change in public policy entails the whole economic and political system changed. maoist china and dengist china and xiist china and current vietnam all have marked differences in various policies, but they're still a lot more similar to each other, than they are to any of [the us, mexico, canada, australia]. this is not sloppy analysis, it's keeping things in proportion.
bradrn wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 8:28 am
malloc wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 8:21 am
zompist wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 2:33 amThis is where the terminology actually becomes important. By your definition, nothing changed in the 1930s or the 1980s— we had the same system. But Roosevelt made a huge change, from laissez-faire to liberalism (or social democracy). And Reagan made a huge change, from liberalism to plutocracy.
Aside from anything else, the terminology here really annoys me. Pretty much everything I've read about political theory apart from commentary specific to contemporary US politics does not define liberalism this way. This is the liberalism I'm used to reading about in political thought, something which predates Roosevelt and hardly centers welfare programs or economic regulation, and hardly excludes Reagan for that matter.
I’ll admit that zompist’s usage here confuses me, too. I think his other term ‘social democracy’ is more accurate for what he’s getting at.
me too, but it is the way the words are used in the US. social democracy, at least in the rest of the world, is something a lot more leftwing than the us has ever had and is every likely to have. i mean, again, the us doesn't even have vacations. zero days. nada. nothing, zilch. who calls a country with zero vacation where you can be fired for no reason at all "social democracy" ? [other than an american of course]
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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Torco wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 11:55 am
bradrn wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 8:28 am
malloc wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 8:21 am
Aside from anything else, the terminology here really annoys me. Pretty much everything I've read about political theory apart from commentary specific to contemporary US politics does not define liberalism this way. This is the liberalism I'm used to reading about in political thought, something which predates Roosevelt and hardly centers welfare programs or economic regulation, and hardly excludes Reagan for that matter.
I’ll admit that zompist’s usage here confuses me, too. I think his other term ‘social democracy’ is more accurate for what he’s getting at.
me too, but it is the way the words are used in the US. social democracy, at least in the rest of the world, is something a lot more leftwing than the us has ever had and is every likely to have. i mean, again, the us doesn't even have vacations. zero days. nada. nothing, zilch. who calls a country with zero vacation where you can be fired for no reason at all "social democracy" ? [other than an american of course]
Would you agree that the New Deal was at least moving towards social democracy? They never got all the way there (of course they didn’t, it’s the US) but it was better than what they had before or what’s happening now.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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Claiming that there was no appreciable difference between the New Deal and what came before it and after Reagan took power just illustrates that "perfect is the enemy of good". This is also why I do not reject participation in electoral politics even though I do not think socialism can be brought about through it -- yes, it'd be perfect if we had socialism complete with workers' ownership and self-management of capital, but we should not reject good changes that can be brought about through the existing system just because they involved electoral politics.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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bradrn wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 12:32 pmWould you agree that the New Deal was at least moving towards social democracy? They never got all the way there (of course they didn’t, it’s the US) but it was better than what they had before or what’s happening now.
i totally agree, yeah. social security, maximum work weeks, banning of child labour, etcetera.
Travis B. wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2026 12:40 pm Claiming that there was no appreciable difference between the New Deal and what came before it and after Reagan took power just illustrates that "perfect is the enemy of good". This is also why I do not reject participation in electoral politics even though I do not think socialism can be brought about through it -- yes, it'd be perfect if we had socialism complete with workers' ownership and self-management of capital, but we should not reject good changes that can be brought about through the existing system just because they involved electoral politics.
I also agree. but i don't think no one claimed that the old deal, the new deal, and the reaganite deal are the exact same. what they also aren't is like totally different systems. they look very different, and are, until you compare them with actually different economic-political systems, such as the system of the ussr, or of china, or of the french ancien regime, or colonial haiti. it's like different breeds of horse, you know? sure, a percheron isn't the same as a racing preblood, but they're both horses in a way that a turtle isn't.
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Re: United States Politics Thread 47

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"My favorite dish is spaghetti carbonara. Neither gazpacho nor pad thai are spaghetti carbonara. It follows that gazpacho and pad thai are clearly one and the same dish!"
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