Ares Land wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 1:14 pm
You think Hamas are freedom fighters, of sorts. I think they're just power-hungry thugs. I don't think either of us is going to convince the other and that's all right.
I try not to use terminology that's like this in my analysis, to be honest. I don't think there's any difference between, say, a terrorist and a freedom fighter, a militant group with aims towards power and a power-hungry bunch of thugs etcetera, except how ones feels about the people in question: again, our brave adventurers, their brutish invaders, right? What I think is what I've said, that Hamas is an islamist resistence movement opposing an occupation, often funded by Likud governments. What I think they are not is mindless murder drones that want to murder jews as a categorical imperative.
Travis B. wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 12:09 pm
The thing is this -- how does killing hundreds of civilians at a music festival advance the cause of Palestinian liberation?
This is an interesting question,
what is Hamas trying to do, but we won't answer well it if we decide beforehand that they're mindless murder drones. Assume they're a rational semi-state actor that aims at what they say they aim, and that they are what I think they are: what's the logic behind resisting an occupation? well, if you could just wage a normal war against them and win you wouldn't be a resistence group, you'd be an army (and a pretty big and strong one at that): all resistence groups can do, as a rule, is to make the occupation as costly for the invader as possible and hope they give up (like the us in vietnam) or collapse under the cost (which wouldn't be unprecedented, but is less likely).
To that end, you may embark in a number of different action lines: sabotage of the armed forces, random attacks against the civilians to which the occupying state owes itself, attacks against collaborators, etcetera. Horribly, if you get the occupying force to go from brutal occupation force to a genocide taskforce (i.e. you goad them into commiting visible and attention-grabbing atrocities) that imposes a concrete cost to the invader: it turns it, in what the US military calls "the information battlesphere" from an invasor (like russia, not nice) to a monster (like the third reich, very not nice). this harms its ability to engage in normal international relations, for example, and makes it in turn pretty expensive for its allies to continue to provide it with arms etcetera: if biden loses this election to trump, and especially if he loses it because enough people who would otherwise vote biden don't (i ain't voting for genocide joe no matter how bad trump is), then you've imposed a cost on your enemies. This, of course, isn't an ethical course of action, but it *is* a rational one, and if that's Hamas' play then it would be neither irrational nor ineffective: Israel has never enjoyed a fantastic international reputation outside the US, but I think we can all agree it worsened.
Now add religion to this: if you think death is not real, as religious people often do, then the value in your calculation of your enemy killing your civilians goes down, as they're just getting to be martyrs (a word the palestinians do use) and go to heaven or whatever. taken to the limit, this logic would entail that the best thing that could realistically happen for hamas is if israel nuked its bantustans, jordan and syria for good measure, deployed mustard gas, and explode a dirty bomb at the UN headquarters: sure, many people die, but Israel becomes -the media manipulation of the west is not omnipotent- a true pariah state, something exceedingly expensive for anyone to support.
This is evil, yes, and I don't want it: but it is a better analysis than "they are bad and do bad because are bad". this isn't even my own work, mind you, there's plenty of people who suggest this theses of, essentially, "Israeli atrocities benefit hamas".